TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs FC Famalicão Esports (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group C
Volume:
$847
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike Best-of-1 match between BESTIA and FC Famalicão Esports in the Roman Imperium Cup Group C, scheduled for March 13, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. Markets span match winner prediction and granular map statistics (odd/even kills and rounds on Map 1).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market definition conflates match-level outcome with tournament-level outcome, creating logical ambiguity. The phrase 'wins the Roman Imperium Cup' is undefined—it is unclear whether resolution depends on the single BO1 match result or requires the team to win the entire tournament. This makes the market potentially unresolvable without external clarification.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's market until the operator clarifies whether 'wins the Roman Imperium Cup' means (a) wins the single BO1 match on March 13, or (b) wins the entire Roman Imperium Cup tournament. If (b), the market cannot resolve from match data alone and is fundamentally broken. Polymarket's three markets are well-defined and should be your primary reference.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate, well-defined markets: (1) Match winner (BESTIA vs FC Famalicão), (2) Map 1 odd/even kills, (3) Map 1 odd/even rounds. Each has explicit edge-case handling (forfeit/walkover = 50-50, cancellation beyond 7 days = 50-50, remake = use remade game only). Primary source: HLTV.org, fallback to credible consensus within 2 hours. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to BESTIA if BESTIA win the match against FC Famalicão Esports.'
- Kalshi: Single market with ambiguous scope: 'If BESTIA wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026: FC Famalicao Esports vs. BESTIA CS2 match... then the market resolves to Yes.' The phrase 'wins the Roman Imperium Cup' is undefined—unclear whether it refers to winning the single BO1 match or winning the entire tournament. No edge-case handling provided. Key quote: 'If BESTIA wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026: FC Famalicao Esports vs. BESTIA CS2 match originally scheduled for Mar 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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