TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.3b

24H VOL:

$158,613,015

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,206,641,323

499,459

Markets across

13,676

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,789

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

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Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Misa Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs

Volume:
$26,712
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket round of 16 match between against All authority and Misa Esports in the ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 25 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "against All authority" if against All authority win the match against Misa Esports. This market will resolve to "Misa Esports" if Misa Esports win the match against against All authority. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Kalshi's match-winner market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (Misa Esports wins OR against All authority wins) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market mathematically unresolvable. Polymarket's markets are logically coherent with clear binary or categorical outcomes.

Hero Tip:

Do not trade Kalshi's match-winner market; it is logically broken. For match outcome exposure, use Polymarket's BO3 winner market (question 10). For all granular markets (map winners, statistics), Polymarket's framework is consistent and resolvable: apply the 7-day rule, 50-50 fallback for cancellations/forfeits/walkovers, and HLTV.org as primary source.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Kalshi: Match-winner market states: 'If Misa Esports wins... then Yes. If against All authority wins... then Yes.' This is a logical tautology with no path to No resolution, making the market unresolvable.
  • Polymarket: BO3 winner market (question 10) clearly resolves to 'against All authority' if they win, 'Misa Esports' if they win, with 50-50 fallback for cancellations, ties, or delays beyond 7 days without play beginning. All map and statistical markets follow the same coherent framework.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.