TOTAL VOLUME:

$116.8b

24H VOL:

$74,088,679

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,155,064,106

338,083

Markets across

33,297

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,226

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
MUI X License key version mismatch
Total markets: 25 of 33

Intro

This market tracks whether a specific group of college football quarterback prospects will win the Heisman Trophy during the 2026-2027 season on Kalshi, with the resolution based on the official award announcement. The current probability of Darian Mensah winning stands at 12.0%, while the second outcome is at 10.0%. Watch for the award ceremony on 2027-01-01, which will determine the final market resolution.

Kalshi

Each outcome resolves to Yes if the corresponding player wins the College Football Heisman Trophy during the 2026-2027 college football season. Resolution is determined by the official Heisman Trophy award announcement for that season.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker pricing. Sportsbooks adjust odds to balance liability, while prediction markets move continuously based on trader activity and new information. For the Heisman, prediction markets may react faster to breakout performances, injuries, or statistical milestones than sportsbooks do. Comparing Kalshi odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where public opinion and professional oddsmakers disagree, helping you identify potential value.

On Kalshi, the College Football Heisman Trophy Winner market is priced as a set of binary contracts, each representing a specific candidate's chances of winning. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each contract trades between 0 and 100 cents, with the price reflecting the implied probability that candidate will claim the award. Traders buy contracts they believe are underpriced and sell those they think are overpriced. The current leading candidate is trading at 11.0% probability, with total market volume of $8,332,693 reflecting sustained interest in predicting this outcome.

The College Football Heisman Trophy Winner market on Kalshi resolves on Jan 1, 2027, following the official announcement of the award winner. The outcome is determined by the Heisman Trophy voting process conducted by the College Football Hall of Fame, which involves ballots from media, fans, and former winners. Once the official winner is announced, the corresponding contract on Kalshi resolves to 100 cents and all other candidate contracts resolve to zero, settling all open positions.

Several catalysts can shift odds for the College Football Heisman Trophy Winner on Kalshi. Standout individual performances, particularly in high-profile games or rivalry matchups, often trigger sharp price moves. Injuries to top contenders can dramatically alter probabilities. Statistical milestones such as passing yardage records, touchdown thresholds, or historic efficiency marks attract trader attention. Conference championship outcomes and playoff seeding announcements also influence perception of candidates' resume strength. Media narratives, award-voting trends, and late-season momentum shifts all contribute to continuous repricing as the award decision approaches.