Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution logic: official Liga MX final score for 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements (remain open), cancellations (50-50), and incomplete matches (official score at stoppage).
Primary resolution logic:
Official Liga MX statistics published on ligamx.net; fallback to consensus of credible reporting if Liga MX does not publish within 2 hours of match conclusion
Core resolution logic:
Spread: CF Monterrey (-2.5) resolves YES if CF Monterrey wins by 3+ goals, otherwise NO
Spread: CF Monterrey (-1.5) resolves YES if CF Monterrey wins by 2+ goals, otherwise NO
Spread: Club Santos Laguna (-2.5) resolves YES if Santos Laguna wins by 3+ goals, otherwise NO
Spread: Club Santos Laguna (-1.5) resolves YES if Santos Laguna wins by 2+ goals, otherwise NO
Over/Under 1.5 resolves OVER if combined goals >= 2, UNDER if combined goals < 2
Over/Under 2.5 resolves OVER if combined goals >= 3, UNDER if combined goals < 3
Over/Under 3.5 resolves OVER if combined goals >= 4, UNDER if combined goals < 4
Over/Under 4.5 resolves OVER if combined goals >= 5, UNDER if combined goals < 5
Both Teams to Score resolves YES if each team scores >= 1 goal, NO if either team scores 0 goals
All resolution applies only to the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are excluded
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: Markets remain open until the match is completed; no early resolution
Match Cancellation (No Makeup): All markets resolve 50-50
Match Started But Not Completed: Resolution follows the official final score published by Liga MX at the time of stoppage
Delayed Official Statistics: If Liga MX does not publish final statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution may use consensus of credible reporting
Scope Limitation: Resolution covers only the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time) and official Liga MX statistics are published, or within 2 hours of match conclusion if Liga MX statistics are delayed
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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