TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$129,159,707

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,442,132,418

404,744

Markets across

30,489

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Club León FC vs. FC Juárez
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Club León FC vs. FC Juárez?

Volume:
$3,308,411

Leon

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 28, 2026

Closed: Sep 27, 11:06 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Leon

View
100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,259,839
N/A
N/A
$477,017
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Club León FC

View
100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$190,426
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Juarez

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$987,934
N/A
N/A
$518,715
Settled
No
polymarket

FC Juárez

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44,108
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$796,204
N/A
N/A
$282,323
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Club León FC vs. FC Juárez)

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,900
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether Club León FC will win their Liga MX soccer match against FC Juárez on September 27, 2026. Currently, the aggregated probability of Club León FC winning is 100.0%, while FC Juárez winning has a probability of 0.1%. This consensus view combines data from Kalshi and Polymarket, and will resolve based on the official match result reported at https://ligamx.net/cancha/partidos. Keep an eye on the match itself on September 27, 2026, as the final score will determine the outcome of this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket markets focus on a single team winning or losing, while Kalshi markets cover all three possible outcomes (win, loss, draw). Cancellation rules also differ.Hero tip: Consider the differing market definitions when trading. Polymarket's markets are effectively 'León wins OR Juárez wins' vs. Kalshi's 'León wins' or 'Juárez wins' or 'Draw'.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets focus on whether Club León FC wins. If the game is canceled, the market resolves to 'No'. "If Club León FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No"."
  • Kalshi: Markets exist for each possible outcome (León win, Juárez win, Tie). If any of these outcomes occur after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes'. "If Leon wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Juarez wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Liga MX game, scheduled for Sunday, September 27, 2026 between Club León FC and FC Juárez.

Kalshi

If Leon wins the Leon vs Juarez professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Juarez wins the Leon vs Juarez professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Leon vs Juarez professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the Club León vs. Juárez match from multiple platforms, including Polymarket and Kalshi. Currently, the combined volume across these platforms is $3,308,411, with $2,778,608 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a consensus view of the likely outcome, reflecting the collective wisdom of traders. On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction, while Kalshi utilizes a different mechanism. The dashboard displays the probability of various outcomes, allowing you to see where the market currently stands.

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the varying incentives and information sources involved. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets reflect the aggregated beliefs of a diverse group of traders. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially when incorporating information not readily available to sportsbooks. The spread between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds can sometimes be significant, offering potential arbitrage opportunities for informed traders. This market, like others, can sometimes offer different insights than conventional betting venues.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Club León or FC Juárez could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion or large trades on either Polymarket or Kalshi could cause price fluctuations. Keep an eye on these factors as they unfold, as they all have the potential to impact the probability of different outcomes in this market.