TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 17, 9:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Liga MX game between Club León FC and Atlas FC, scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Club León FC vs. Atlas FC match originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Liga MX game between Club León FC and Atlas FC, scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Club León FC vs. Atlas FC match originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader demand and supply for each exact scoreline. Sportsbooks typically offer broader markets (win, draw, loss) rather than exact scores, making direct comparison difficult. When exact-score odds are available at both venues, prediction markets may price outcomes differently based on real-time trader conviction, whereas sportsbooks adjust more slowly and incorporate built-in profit margins. Comparing the two can reveal where smart money sees value.
On Polymarket, traders set prices for each exact scoreline through an automated market maker (AMM) mechanism that adjusts odds based on buy and sell pressure. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. When more traders purchase shares in a particular outcome—say, a 1–1 draw—the price of that outcome rises, while the prices of competing scorelines fall to maintain the market's internal consistency. The top outcome currently reflects the highest probability assigned by the market. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to new information, and wider spreads between bid and ask prices indicate lower liquidity for less-popular outcomes.
This market resolves around Jul 18, 2026, once the Club León FC versus Atlas FC match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regulation time, with all exact-score outcomes mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive. Traders holding shares in the correct final score receive their payout, while all other positions expire worthless. Resolution timing depends on match completion and official confirmation, so results are typically finalized within hours of the final whistle.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—can shift trader sentiment toward or away from certain scorelines. Recent form, head-to-head history, and tactical adjustments announced before kickoff often trigger repricing. In-match developments, such as an early goal or red card, will cause sharp moves in real time if live trading is enabled. Betting syndicates and sharp traders may accumulate positions in outcomes they believe are mispriced, creating visible volume spikes. Weather conditions, venue factors, and late-breaking roster updates can also influence how traders assess the probability of high-scoring versus low-scoring outcomes.