TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 27, 3:50 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Bolivia LFPB game between Club Independiente Petrolero and CDOriente Petrolero, scheduled for June 13, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Club Independiente Petrolero" if Club Independiente Petrolero score more goals than CDOriente Petrolero in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Club Independiente Petrolero and CDOriente Petrolero score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CDOriente Petrolero" if CDOriente Petrolero score more goals than Club Independiente Petrolero in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Bolivia LFPB game between Club Independiente Petrolero and CDOriente Petrolero, scheduled for June 13, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Club Independiente Petrolero" if Club Independiente Petrolero score more goals than CDOriente Petrolero in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Club Independiente Petrolero and CDOriente Petrolero score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CDOriente Petrolero" if CDOriente Petrolero score more goals than Club Independiente Petrolero in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven purely by trader conviction and capital allocation. Sportsbooks may adjust faster for sharp action, whereas prediction markets aggregate dispersed information over time. For this matchup, comparing the implied probability here to major sportsbook lines can reveal where the crowd sees value or where consensus breaks down.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. As more capital flows into one outcome, its price rises and the competing outcome's price falls, creating a continuous equilibrium. This mechanism ensures that the market price at any moment represents the aggregated forecast of all active participants.
This market resolves around Jun 14, 2026, once the second half of the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which team scores more goals during the second half only, independent of the first-half score. Resolution hinges on the final whistle and official match records, ensuring clarity and finality for all traders.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff. Early first-half momentum and tactical adjustments can shift expectations for the second half, prompting traders to reposition. Red cards, substitutions, or unexpected tactical shifts during the match itself often trigger sharp repricing. Weather conditions, venue factors, and recent form updates may also influence trader confidence in either team's ability to score in the second half.