Cincinnati vs San Francisco: Outs Recorded

Kalshi

Both markets share a consistent framework for settlement based on pitcher participation and performance criteria. If either pitcher is not in the starting rotation or is scratched prior to the game, the market resolves to the fair market price, reflecting uncertainty in their involvement. If a pitcher enters the game in a relief role, regardless of whether they were originally slated to start, the market also resolves to the fair market price, as relief appearances do not count toward the required outs. However, if either pitcher is confirmed as a starting pitcher and delivers at least one pitch during the game, settlement will be determined strictly by whether they record the specified number of outs—18 for Chase Burns or 16 for Carson Whisenhunt. These rules ensure clarity in scenarios where a pitcher's role changes before or during the game, preventing relief appearances from influencing the outcome unless the pitcher was officially listed as a starter and began throwing pitches.