TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Cincinnati Bearcats vs. West Virginia Mountaineers (W)
Volume:
$45,572
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Women's College Basketball (WBB) matchup between the Cincinnati Bearcats and West Virginia Mountaineers scheduled for March 1, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. Markets resolve based on the final game outcome, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is logically contradictory: both Cincinnati winning and West Virginia winning are stated to resolve to Yes, which violates the law of excluded middle for a binary outcome. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi until the platform clarifies the resolution logic. The contradiction suggests either a documentation error (West Virginia should resolve to No) or a market design flaw. Polymarket provides clear, mutually exclusive resolution paths and should be treated as the reliable reference.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure: Cincinnati win resolves to Cincinnati Bearcats, West Virginia win resolves to West Virginia Mountaineers. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Logically contradictory: states both Cincinnati win and West Virginia win resolve to Yes. No mention of postponement or cancellation handling. This creates an unresolvable market as written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.