TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 30, 8:30 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the margin of victory in an upcoming baseball game between two professional teams. Each market corresponds to a specific run differential threshold that determines the outcome. The resolution depends entirely on the final score of the game as it concludes.
These markets resolve based on the run differential by which either team wins the specified baseball match. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the winning team exceeds the stated run margin—2.5 or 1.5 runs—for their respective team as defined in each market. If the game is canceled, forfeited, or otherwise incomplete per official league rules such that no definitive winner or margin can be determined, all markets resolve as 'No.' The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all branding remains property of the respective rights holders.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score and run differential will determine whether the spread is covered, closing this market based on official game results and widely accepted sports data sources.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions affecting game dynamics, and pitching changes can all shift expectations for the spread and move this market. Additionally, any significant performance trends or strategic adjustments by either team leading up to the match may influence trader sentiment and adjust odds on Kalshi as the game draws nearer.