TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Completed Match
- Polymarket
Completed Match - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 24, 2026
Closed: Sep 24, 5:35 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between James Duckworth and Lorenzo Sonego in the Chengdu Open, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'James Duckworth' if James Duckworth advances against Lorenzo Sonego. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Sonego' if Lorenzo Sonego advances against James Duckworth. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between James Duckworth and Lorenzo Sonego in the Chengdu Open, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'James Duckworth' if James Duckworth advances against Lorenzo Sonego. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Sonego' if Lorenzo Sonego advances against James Duckworth. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. It’s common to see this market offer odds that differ from those found at conventional sportsbooks, potentially revealing insights into where informed bettors see value in the Duckworth vs Sonego match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing perceptions regarding the Duckworth vs Sonego match.
This market resolves around Sep 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Duckworth vs Sonego match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The market will determine which player ultimately wins the match, and that result will be used to settle all outstanding shares. Traders should monitor official sources for the final match result to understand when and how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even pre-match interviews revealing strategic insights could all cause shifts in sentiment. Unexpected weather forecasts for Chengdu could also play a role, as could updates on the players’ recent performance in other tournaments. Significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself could also move the market, reflecting a change in conviction among traders regarding the Duckworth vs Sonego match.