TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$129,159,707

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,442,132,418

404,744

Markets across

30,489

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Gil Vicente FC
polymarket
kalshi

CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Gil Vicente FC

Volume:
$109,159

Draw (CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Gil Vicente FC)

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 8, 2026

Closed: Mar 8, 11:30 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Draw (CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Gil Vicente FC)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,143
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,097
N/A
N/A
$1,460
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Gil Vicente FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$66,930
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Vicente Barcelos

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,793
N/A
N/A
$3,846
Settled
No
polymarket

CF Estrela da Amadora

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,735
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Estrela Amadora

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,460
N/A
N/A
$9,271
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Portuguese Liga Portugal soccer match between CF Estrela da Amadora and Gil Vicente FC scheduled for March 8, 2026. Markets are offered on Polymarket (three binary outcomes: Estrela win, Gil Vicente win, draw) and Kalshi (one market covering all three outcomes). Resolution depends on the official 90-minute match result plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Team name discrepancy ('Vicente Barcelos' vs 'Gil Vicente FC') and fundamentally different market structures (Polymarket: three separate binaries; Kalshi: single omnibus market where all outcomes resolve Yes). Resolution sources and cancellation rules also differ.Hero tip: Cross-reference Kalshi's 'Vicente Barcelos' against official Liga Portugal roster to confirm identity with 'Gil Vicente FC'. If confirmed, understand that Kalshi's market design (all outcomes resolve Yes) provides no differentiation between match outcomes, making it unsuitable for directional betting. Use Polymarket's three binary markets for standard win/loss/draw exposure. Always source final result from Liga Portugal official statistics.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three independent binary markets (Estrela win, Gil Vicente win, Draw). Resolution source: Liga Portugal official statistics within 2 hours post-match, or credible reporting consensus if official stats delayed. Cancellation with no makeup: win markets resolve No, draw market resolves Yes. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
  • Kalshi: Single market covering all three outcomes (Estrela win, 'Vicente Barcelos' win, Tie), all resolving to Yes. No explicit resolution source or cancellation clause provided. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Team name 'Vicente Barcelos' does not match official 'Gil Vicente FC' naming.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.