TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Gil Vicente FC
Volume:
$109,159
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Portuguese Liga Portugal soccer match between CF Estrela da Amadora and Gil Vicente FC scheduled for March 8, 2026. Markets are offered on Polymarket (three binary outcomes: Estrela win, Gil Vicente win, draw) and Kalshi (one market covering all three outcomes). Resolution depends on the official 90-minute match result plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Team name discrepancy ('Vicente Barcelos' vs 'Gil Vicente FC') and fundamentally different market structures (Polymarket: three separate binaries; Kalshi: single omnibus market where all outcomes resolve Yes). Resolution sources and cancellation rules also differ.Hero Tip:
Cross-reference Kalshi's 'Vicente Barcelos' against official Liga Portugal roster to confirm identity with 'Gil Vicente FC'. If confirmed, understand that Kalshi's market design (all outcomes resolve Yes) provides no differentiation between match outcomes, making it unsuitable for directional betting. Use Polymarket's three binary markets for standard win/loss/draw exposure. Always source final result from Liga Portugal official statistics.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three independent binary markets (Estrela win, Gil Vicente win, Draw). Resolution source: Liga Portugal official statistics within 2 hours post-match, or credible reporting consensus if official stats delayed. Cancellation with no makeup: win markets resolve No, draw market resolves Yes. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
- Kalshi: Single market covering all three outcomes (Estrela win, 'Vicente Barcelos' win, Tie), all resolving to Yes. No explicit resolution source or cancellation clause provided. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Team name 'Vicente Barcelos' does not match official 'Gil Vicente FC' naming.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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