TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 7:32 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams, Cerro Porteno and Nacional, focusing on determining the winner after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. The result will be based solely on the final score at the end of regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match ends with both teams scoring the same number of goals, it is considered a tie.
The event determines the result of the Cerro Porteno vs Nacional professional APF Division de Honor soccer match scheduled for September 7, 2026, based on the outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three distinct markets correspond to possible results: Cerro Porteno win, Nacional win, or a tie. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if its specified condition is met—Cerro Porteno or Nacional winning in their respective markets, or the game ending in a draw for the tie market. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following predefined procedures. The resolution hinges exclusively on the standard match result without considering post-regulation periods, ensuring clarity and alignment with typical competitive outcomes for such fixtures.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds adjust dynamically based on real-time trading activity and volume of $618,385. While sportsbooks may incorporate additional factors like historical performance and broker adjustments, this market provides a pure crowd-sourced probability estimate. Traders can compare this market to sportsbook odds to spot potential discrepancies or shifts in public perception leading up to Sep 8, 2026.
This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the official match conclusion, and all trades settle according to the final, confirmed score or event details reported through trusted news and sports authorities.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or shifting tournament conditions can all shift this market as the match nears. Traders also react to pre-game polls, expert analysis, and any last-minute news about team form or weather. Each update may cause rapid re-pricing of the odds, especially with $573,418 in daily trading volume reflecting heightened interest.