This event group covers a Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer match between Cúcuta Deportivo FC and AD Cali scheduled for March 14, 2026. Three markets track the possible outcomes: AD Cali win, Cúcuta win, and draw. The resolution focuses on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
Polymarket and Kalshi define contradictory cancellation logic. Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes on cancellation, while its win markets resolve No. Kalshi does not explicitly address cancellation, creating ambiguity in edge-case resolution.
Hero Tip:
Monitor DIMAYOR for any postponement or cancellation announcements. If cancellation occurs with no make-up, Polymarket traders face a logical trap: the draw market resolves Yes while both win markets resolve No, violating the principle that exactly one outcome must occur. Request explicit cancellation guidance from Kalshi before trading.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Three separate markets with inconsistent cancellation logic. Win markets (AD Cali, Cúcuta) resolve No if canceled with no make-up. Draw market resolves Yes if canceled with no make-up. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (wins) vs 'this market will resolve Yes' (draw).
Kalshi: Three outcome markets (Tie, Cali, Cucuta) each resolve Yes if their outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Quote: 'If [outcome] wins the Cucuta vs Cali professional Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer game originally scheduled for Mar 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.