TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$129,159,707

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,442,132,418

404,744

Markets across

30,489

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Cardiff City FC vs. Stoke City FC - Second Half Result
polymarket
kalshi

Cardiff City FC vs. Stoke City FC - Second Half Result

Volume:
$327,248

Wolverhampton

 - Kalshi

Wolverhampton - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 8, 2026

Closed: Aug 29, 9:37 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Wolverhampton

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$218,766
N/A
N/A
$159,690
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Cardiff City FC

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$42
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Stoke

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$64,335
N/A
N/A
$52,913
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$44,049
N/A
N/A
$22,869
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Stoke City FC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks which team will score more goals in the second half of the EFL Championship game between Cardiff City FC and Stoke City FC. Currently, Polymarket and Kalshi traders collectively assign a 99.7% probability to Cardiff City FC winning the second half, with a 0.4% probability given to a draw. This aggregated view combines data from Polymarket and Kalshi, and will resolve based on official statistics published by the governing body or event organizers, potentially supplemented by data from Flashscore or Sofascore. Keep an eye on the kickoff of the match on September 8, 2026, to see how the second half unfolds.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market scope mismatch - Kalshi resolves based on an unrelated match while Polymarket resolves based on the actual Cardiff vs Stoke second halfHero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market as it resolves on an unrelated Wolverhampton vs Stoke match. Only Polymarket markets accurately reflect the Cardiff City FC vs Stoke City FC second half outcome.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves based on Wolverhampton vs Stoke match outcome on Aug 29, 2026: "If Wolverhampton wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Stoke wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie... then the market resolves to Yes."
  • Polymarket: Resolves based on Cardiff City FC vs Stoke City FC second half goals on Sep 8, 2026: "This market will resolve to "Cardiff City FC" if Cardiff City FC score more goals than Stoke City FC in the second half... This market will resolve to "Draw" if they score the same... This market will resolve to "Stoke City FC" if Stoke scores more"
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming EFL Championship game between Cardiff City FC and Stoke City FC, scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cardiff City FC" if Cardiff City FC score more goals than Stoke City FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Cardiff City FC and Stoke City FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Stoke City FC" if Stoke City FC score more goals than Cardiff City FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics published by the governing body or event organizers. If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially published final statistics made after market resolution will not be considered in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the official result of the Wolverhampton vs Stoke professional EFL Championship soccer match scheduled for August 29, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Wolverhampton wins, that specific market resolves to Yes. If Stoke wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the match end in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. All markets are tied to the same game instance, and any cancellation or rescheduling beyond 48 hours will result in a fair price resolution as per the platform’s guidelines. The event explicitly excludes outcomes determined during extra time or penalty phases, focusing solely on the result within the standard match duration.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Cardiff vs. Stoke second-half result market aggregates real-time data from multiple venues, showing how traders across Polymarket and Kalshi price the likelihood of different second-half outcomes. It displays current probabilities, volume of $327,248, and 24-hour volume of $324,965, letting users see where consensus lies and spot divergence between platforms.

Injuries, tactical substitutions, or weather disruptions can all shift this market close to kickoff. Momentum swings in early play, referee decisions, or even crowd pressure may cause rapid probability changes on both platforms. Traders watch live updates and lineup announcements closely, as each twist can rebalance odds dramatically in the final hours.