TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Vancouver Surge (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 2 Playoffs
Description
This market refers to the Call of Duty Play-In match between Toronto KOI and Vancouver Surge in the Call of Duty League Major 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for March 27 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Toronto KOI" if Toronto KOI win the match against Vancouver Surge. This market will resolve to "Vancouver Surge" if Vancouver Surge win the match against Toronto KOI. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/callofduty/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/callofduty/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi differ fundamentally in scope and resolution logic. Polymarket offers granular markets on match outcome, individual game winners, handicaps, and game totals with detailed resolution rules. Kalshi offers a single binary market that resolves YES if either team wins, making it effectively unresolvable as a competitive prediction.Hero Tip:
Polymarket markets are designed for precise settlement based on match results, handicaps, and game counts with clear winner determination. Kalshi's market resolves YES regardless of which team wins, making it unsuitable for differentiating outcomes. If you trade on Kalshi, understand that both YES and NO outcomes are logically impossible under its stated rules—this market is fundamentally broken.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket provides eight separate markets covering match winner, individual game winners (Games 1-4), game totals (O/U 3.5 and O/U 4.5), and handicaps (TOR -1.5 and TOR -2.5). Each resolves based on official Liquipedia data or credible reporting within 2 hours post-event. Match winner resolves to the team that wins the series; handicap markets resolve based on game differential; game total markets resolve based on number of games played. All markets include detailed edge cases for forfeits, disqualifications, walkovers, cancellations, and delays beyond 7 days. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Toronto KOI if Toronto KOI win the match against Vancouver Surge' and 'This market will resolve to Toronto KOI if Toronto KOI wins 2 or more games than Vancouver Surge in this match.'
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi offers a single binary market that resolves YES if either Toronto KOI or Vancouver Surge wins the match. The resolution rule states 'If Toronto KOI wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Vancouver Surge wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where both YES and NO outcomes cannot occur, rendering the market unresolvable. Key quote: 'If Toronto KOI wins the Call of Duty League Major 2 2026...then the market resolves to Yes. If Vancouver Surge wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
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