TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CA Talleres vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
Volume:
$235,667
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single professional Argentina Primera Division soccer match between CA Talleres (Cordoba) and CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza scheduled for February 14, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket track the three mutually exclusive outcomes: Talleres win, Mendoza win, or draw, all evaluated at 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi provides incomplete cancellation/postponement logic, while Polymarket explicitly differentiates outcomes on cancellation (draw=Yes, wins=No). The three Kalshi markets appear mutually exclusive by design but lack clarity on edge cases.Hero Tip:
For normal match completion, all platforms resolve identically: one of three outcomes (Talleres win, Mendoza win, or draw) occurs at 90+stoppage. If cancellation/postponement risk is a concern, Polymarket's explicit rules provide clarity; Kalshi's silence suggests conservative interpretation (treat as unresolved pending clarification). Trade the core outcome (90+stoppage result) with confidence; hedge cancellation risk via Polymarket draw market if needed.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Three separate markets, each resolving Yes if that outcome occurs after 90+stoppage minutes. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Logic implies mutual exclusivity (only one outcome per match) but edge case handling is absent.
- Polymarket: Three separate markets with explicit edge case rules: draw resolves Yes on cancellation with no make-up; Mendoza and Talleres win markets resolve No on cancellation with no make-up. Postponement keeps all markets open until completion. Source: AFA (Argentine Football Association).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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