TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.9b
24H VOL:
$163,854,306
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,185,829,855
506,570
Markets across
13,801
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,985
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia
Volume:
$176,728
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Argentina Primera Division soccer match between CA San Lorenzo de Almagro and CSyD Defensa y Justicia scheduled for March 16, 2026. Multiple prediction markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are tracking the final outcome (win/loss/draw) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent resolution criteria across platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket apply identical resolution logic: match outcome determined by official AFA statistics after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official AFA (Asociación del Fútbol Argentino) match statistics; secondary source is credible consensus reporting if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion.Core resolution logic:
- Match outcome is determined by the official result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
- Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution scope
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes: San Lorenzo de Almagro win, Defensa y Justicia win, or draw
- Kalshi markets resolve Yes for any outcome (all three outcomes trigger Yes)
- Polymarket markets are outcome-specific: draw market resolves Yes if draw occurs, San Lorenzo win market resolves Yes if San Lorenzo wins, Defensa y Justicia win market resolves Yes if Defensa y Justicia wins
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on a future date
- Match Cancellation with No Make-up: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, Polymarket draw market resolves Yes, and Polymarket win markets resolve No. Kalshi markets would resolve Yes as they accept any outcome.
- Official Statistics Delay: If AFA does not publish official statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution may use consensus from credible reporting sources
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes and official AFA statistics are published or credible consensus is established, typically within 2-4 hours of final whistle on March 16, 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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