TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 7:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group covers the CA Paranaense vs. Red Bull Bragantino match scheduled for August 15, 2026, in the Brasileiro Serie A soccer league. The markets focus on determining the outcome of the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts.
This event is for the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for Saturday, August 15, 2026 between CA Paranaense and Red Bull Bragantino.
The event resolves based on the result of the Paranaense vs Bragantino professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer match originally scheduled for August 15, 2026. If Paranaense wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the 'Paranaense' market resolves to Yes. If Bragantino wins under the same conditions, the 'Bragantino' market resolves to Yes. If the match concludes in a tie after the same duration, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The resolution strictly applies to the result after regular time and stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty phases.
On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can diverge due to variations in user bases, liquidity, and trading activity. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, differing volumes of $738,578 and $686,201 across the platforms may amplify small shifts in sentiment into larger price gaps. Additionally, each platform’s unique trading mechanics — such as order types or fee structures — can influence how traders place bets, leading to distinct valuations. These factors mean that Polymarket and Kalshi might temporarily favor different outcomes, reflecting diverse market participant behavior rather than a single consensus view.