TOTAL VOLUME:
$148.6b
24H VOL:
$137,183,717
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,817,625,700
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,798,208,113
456,907
Markets across
34,819
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,792
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Seamus Power
- Kalshi
Seamus Power - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Oct 24, 2026
$
This market tracks which golfer will win the Butterfield Bermuda Championship. Currently, Austin Smotherman winning has a probability of 28.0% on Kalshi, while Seamus Power is at 27.0%. The market will resolve based on whether a specified golfer wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, as determined by the official tournament results. Keep an eye on the final round of play, as the market is scheduled to resolve on October 25, 2026, following the conclusion of the tournament and determination of the lowest score.
If Kihei Akina wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Matthew Anderson wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aaron Baddeley wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Zac Blair wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chandler Blanchet wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ryan Brehm wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jonathan Byrd wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rafael Campos wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cameron Champ wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Davis Chatfield wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Luke Clanton wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Eric Cole wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Corey Conners wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Austin Cook wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Trace Crowe wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Joel Dahmen wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cam Davis wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Zecheng Dou wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Adrien Dumont De Chassart wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tyler Duncan wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nick Dunlap wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Austin Eckroat wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If A.J. Ewart wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Patrick Fishburn wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If David Ford wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dylan Frittelli wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brice Garnett wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lucas Glover wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Will Gordon wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Max Greyserman wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lanto Griffin wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Emiliano Grillo wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bill Haas wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Adam Hadwin wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nick Hardy wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Harry Higgs wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kensei Hirata wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lee Hodges wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rico Hoey wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Charley Hoffman wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tom Hoge wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rasmus Hojgaard wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mason Howell wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mark Hubbard wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mackenzie Hughes wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Benjamin James wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Leng Jay wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nick Jones wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Takumi Kanaya wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jeffrey Kang wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chan Kim wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chris Kirk wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Patton Kizzire wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Greg Koch wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ben Kohles wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Martin Laird wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Christo Lamprecht wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hank Lebioda wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Austin Lemieux wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Haotong Li wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If David Lingmerth wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Luke List wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Adam Long wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Justin Lower wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Willie Mack III wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Peter Malnati wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ben Martin wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Denny McCarthy wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If William McGirt wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Max McGreevy wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Troy Merritt wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Taylor Moore wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lauritzen Nixon wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If S.Y. Noh wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Henrik Norlander wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Andrew Novak wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pontus Nyholm wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If C.T. Pan wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If John Parry wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jeremy Paul wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Matthieu Pavon wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Virgilio Paz wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Taylor Pendrith wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Paul Peterson wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chandler Phillips wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aldrich Potgieter wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Seamus Power wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chad Ramey wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chez Reavie wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Davis Riley wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kevin Roy wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Marcelo Rozo wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Miles Russell wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Isaiah Salinda wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rudy Sautron wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Adam Schenk wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Neal Shipley wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ben Silverman wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If David Skinns wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Camiko Smith wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Austin Smotherman wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hayden Springer wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jimmy Stanger wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Robert Streb wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kevin Streelman wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Adam Svensson wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jesper Svensson wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Davis Thompson wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brendon Todd wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alejandro Tosti wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Erik van Rooyen wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If John VanDerLaan wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kris Ventura wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Camilo Villegas wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Danny Walker wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Vince Whaley wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aaron Wise wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dylan Wu wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ren Yonezawa wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kevin Yu wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. This can lead to prediction market prices being more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds may react more quickly to breaking news, while this market's price movements depend on active trading. It’s common to see discrepancies, reflecting differing assessments of probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous, real-time auction where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the probability of each golfer winning. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract reflects the implied probability of that outcome, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance of success. As more people trade contracts for a particular golfer, the price will adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of their winning potential. This creates a market-driven forecast, distinct from traditional polls or analyst predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results of the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, specifically identifying the golfer who wins the tournament. The platform will verify the winner against established sources for professional golf results. Traders holding contracts for the winning golfer will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for other golfers will not. It’s important to monitor official tournament results as the event concludes to understand the final outcome.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Unexpected injuries to leading golfers, changes in weather conditions at Port Royal Golf Course, or a golfer experiencing a sudden surge in form during the tournament could all shift probabilities. News regarding a golfer’s caddie, equipment changes, or even personal matters could also impact trading activity. Strong performance in preceding tournaments, or notable course history, might also cause traders to reassess their predictions. Monitoring golf news and analyzing player statistics will be crucial for understanding potential market movements.