TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 5, 12:00 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Burundi and Equatorial Guinea (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Friendlies match scheduled for June 4, 2026, 16:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 4, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Limitless, the Burundi and Equatorial Guinea 4+ total cards outcome is priced through continuous order-book matching, where traders buy and sell shares reflecting their belief in the event's probability. The current implied probability and bid-ask spread reflect real-time supply and demand. As match conditions change—such as team news, referee assignments, or historical card patterns between these sides—the price adjusts dynamically. Traders can enter or exit positions at any time before resolution, allowing the market to incorporate new information continuously.
The market resolves on Jun 5, 2026. Resolution is determined by the total number of yellow and red cards issued to both Burundi and Equatorial Guinea combined during their official match. The outcome is binary: if the combined card count reaches 4 or more, the affirmative resolves; if fewer than 4 cards are shown, the negative resolves. Official match records from the governing football authority serve as the source of truth for card tallies.
Key catalysts include team sheet announcements revealing aggressive or defensive lineups, referee assignment and historical card-issuing tendencies, recent disciplinary records of key players, and any pre-match news of injuries or suspensions. Head-to-head history between Burundi and Equatorial Guinea—particularly their rivalry intensity and past card counts—can shift trader expectations. Weather conditions, pitch quality, and tournament stage pressure may also influence playing style and referee tolerance. Live match developments such as early fouls or heated exchanges will drive real-time price movement as traders update their probability estimates.