TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Above 220,000
- Kalshi
Above 220,000 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 8, 2026
Time left: 06d:04h:34m
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This event tracks the total number of attendees at Broadway performances in New York City for a specific week. The outcome depends on whether attendance figures surpass various thresholds, reflecting interest in live theater during that period.
The event resolves based on the total attendance at Broadway performances in New York City for the week ending November 8, 2026, as reported by The Broadway League. Each market corresponds to a specific attendance threshold, with the market resolving to 'Yes' if the reported weekly total exceeds that threshold. Attendance is defined as the sum of all individual admissions across all Broadway shows during the week, counting each performance visit separately regardless of whether the same person attends multiple shows. The relevant data point is the weekly total attendance figure published under 'Weekly Totals' on The Broadway League's official Grosses - Broadway in NYC page, and no other metrics such as season-to-date attendance, gross revenue, or capacity percentages are considered. Kalshi explicitly states it has no official affiliation with The Broadway League, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to specific analyst forecasts for Broadway attendance. However, prediction markets often reflect a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ that can differ from individual expert opinions. If analysts generally predict a stable or increasing attendance, we might expect to see higher prices for contracts predicting higher attendance figures. Conversely, if analysts foresee a decline, prices for lower attendance contracts may increase. It's important to remember that this market represents a forward-looking assessment based on trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final attendance figures for Broadway shows during the week ending November 8, 2026, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle based on the officially reported total attendance, as determined by a reliable source for Broadway performance data. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct attendance range will receive a payout of $1 per share.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major economic shifts affecting disposable income, large-scale events drawing tourists to New York City, or significant changes in the popularity of Broadway shows could all influence trader sentiment. Unexpected news regarding show cancellations or new productions could also move the market. Furthermore, any announcements related to tourism trends or consumer spending habits could cause prices to fluctuate as traders adjust their predictions for the Broadway attendance figures leading up to Nov 9, 2026.