TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 8, 4:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will dominate the first half of an upcoming soccer match by winning by a margin of more than 1.5 goals. It specifically tracks performance during the initial 45 minutes of play, ignoring any events from the second half. The outcome depends entirely on the first-half score difference between the two competing teams.
The event determines whether either Botafogo or Santa Cruz FC PE secures a first-half victory by more than a 1.5 goal margin in their scheduled Brasileiro Serie C match on August 8, 2026. If Botafogo wins the first half by 2 or more goals, that market resolves to Yes. Similarly, if Santa Cruz FC PE achieves the same margin of victory in the first half, its corresponding market resolves to Yes. Only goals scored before halftime count toward these outcomes. Should the match be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market resolves to a fair price based on prevailing conditions at that time.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the odds for this market through buying and selling contracts. The current implied probability reflects the collective assessment of participants about whether Botafogo will meet the first-half spread condition. As the event draws nearer, any shifts in team form, injuries, or tactical changes can cause rapid adjustments in pricing, capturing the real-time expectations of the market.
This market resolves around Aug 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match details are verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match statistics, specifically the first-half goal differential between the two teams. Once the game concludes and the data is publicly available, the market will settle based on whether Botafogo covers the spread in that half.
Key signals such as injury updates, tactical announcements, or weather forecasts could shift this market. If a star player is ruled out or a coach announces a strategic change, it may affect expectations for Botafogo’s first-half performance. Additionally, broader betting trends or analyst commentary leading up to the match can influence trader sentiment, causing fluctuations in the odds as the event approaches.