TOTAL VOLUME:
$147.8b
24H VOL:
$188,696,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,815,744,871
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,841,122,681
495,177
Markets across
36,711
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,823
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Oct 13, 5:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional EuroLeague basketball match between two teams competing on a specific date and time. The resolution depends solely on which team secures a victory in the game as officially recorded. Any changes to the game's schedule or cancellation will follow specific guidelines to determine how the market concludes.
The event resolves based on the official result of the men's professional EuroLeague basketball game between BC Olympiakos Piraeus and Valencia Basket scheduled for October 13, 2026, at 3:00 PM EDT. If either team wins the match, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original scheduled start time, all markets will remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, reflecting an equitable outcome given the circumstances. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a ‘vig’ or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective predictions of traders, aims to represent the true probability of an event occurring, though discrepancies can and do arise. It’s common to see differences, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. Comparing the two can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making, but remember they are generated by different mechanisms and reflect different sets of participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the number of buy and sell orders at different price levels, indicates the level of agreement among traders. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive assessment of the likely result of the game.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the BC Olympiakos Piraeus versus Valencia Basket game, as reported by official league sources. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome matches the verified result. The platform ensures a transparent and reliable resolution process, reflecting the actual outcome of the sporting event. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions would likely have an impact. Unexpected performance in prior games, or shifts in public perception of team strengths, could also drive trading activity. Major announcements related to the game’s venue or scheduling changes could also cause fluctuations. Monitoring sports news and analysis, as well as observing trading volume on Kalshi, can provide insights into potential catalysts that might move this market before it resolves.