TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Austin Peay Governors vs. Central Arkansas Bears (W)
Volume:
$7,556
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Austin Peay Governors and Central Arkansas Bears scheduled for February 18, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement and cancellation scenarios.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Central Arkansas win and Austin Peay win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), violating fundamental binary market logic and making the market unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. This is a data integrity failure at the platform level. Polymarket's binary structure is sound and resolvable. Trade Polymarket only until Kalshi corrects its resolution logic.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clear binary winner-take-all logic. Austin Peay victory resolves to 'Austin Peay Governors', Central Arkansas victory resolves to 'Central Arkansas Bears'. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Defective logical structure. Both Central Arkansas win and Austin Peay win are stated to resolve to Yes, creating a logical impossibility. Missing the complementary No resolution condition, making it impossible to distinguish between outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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