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Closed: Jun 13, 7:00 PM EST
Kalshi
Bettors predict how many runs New York Mets and Atlanta will each score in their professional baseball matchup on June 13, 2026. Each team's run total is evaluated independently across multiple threshold levels.
This event covers team run totals for both New York Mets and Atlanta in the June 13, 2026 game. For New York Mets, the market resolves to Yes if the team scores at or above specified thresholds: 2+ runs (over 1.5), 3+ runs (over 2.5), 4+ runs (over 3.5), 5+ runs (over 4.5), 6+ runs (over 5.5), 7+ runs (over 6.5), or 8+ runs (over 7.5). Similarly, Atlanta's run total is evaluated at the same threshold levels: 2+ runs (over 1.5), 3+ runs (over 2.5), 4+ runs (over 3.5), 5+ runs (over 4.5), 6+ runs (over 5.5), 7+ runs (over 6.5), and 8+ runs (over 7.5). Each threshold operates as an independent market outcome, allowing bettors to wager on specific run-scoring scenarios for either team.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant pools and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. This market may offer sharper or more efficient pricing than traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd sees value that bookmakers have missed or mispriced.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the last executed trade, and you can place limit or market orders to enter or exit your position. As more traders participate and new information surfaces, the price adjusts continuously to reflect the collective forecast of the market participants.
This market resolves around Jun 13, 2026, once the Atlanta versus New York game concludes and the final combined team total is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official final score reported by the league and confirmed through standard sports reporting channels. Until that point, the market remains open for trading, and prices may shift based on injury reports, betting trends, or other developments that influence expectations about the total.
Key player injuries, roster changes, or weather conditions could significantly shift expectations for the combined score. Betting trends and sharp money flowing into one side may signal where informed traders see value. Team performance in recent games, pace of play, and defensive matchups all influence scoring projections. Breaking news about lineup decisions or coaching strategy adjustments can trigger rapid repricing as traders update their forecasts closer to game time.