TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Fenerbahce
Volume:
$329,235
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for April 16 at 2:00PM ET: If the ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne win, the market will resolve to "ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne". If the Fenerbahce win, the market will resolve to "Fenerbahce". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: it resolves YES for both possible outcomes (Fenerbahce win OR ASVEL win), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a guaranteed arbitrage opportunity.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. The resolution logic guarantees YES regardless of game outcome, which violates binary market principles. Polymarket is the only coherent market in this group.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Standard binary sports resolution: resolves to ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne if ASVEL wins, resolves to Fenerbahce if Fenerbahce wins. Includes postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split) clauses. Quote: 'If the ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne win, the market will resolve to ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne. If the Fenerbahce win, the market will resolve to Fenerbahce.'
- Kalshi: Contradictory logic: states 'If Fenerbahce Istanbul wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This means both possible outcomes trigger YES, leaving no NO resolution path. Quote: 'If Fenerbahce Istanbul wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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