TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 16, 12:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored during the regulation time of a high-profile soccer match between Arsenal and Manchester City. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds set for different markets. It reflects the anticipated offensive intensity of the game without considering extra time or penalty shootout scenarios.
The event evaluates multiple markets based on the total goals scored during regulation time (90 minutes plus stoppage time) in the Arsenal vs Manchester City professional Community Shield match scheduled for August 16, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals: over 0.5, over 1.5, over 2.5, over 3.5, over 4.5, and over 5.5 goals. For any market to resolve to 'Yes,' the combined goals from both teams must exceed its respective threshold within regulation time; outcomes from extra time or penalty shootouts are excluded. All markets operate independently, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. The event explicitly states that Kalshi, the platform hosting these markets, holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Analyst forecasts for the Arsenal vs Man City goals market often reflect historical scoring trends and current form, but prediction market odds incorporate real-time trader sentiment and can shift rapidly. While analysts might predict a specific goal range based on team statistics, this market's odds adjust to reflect betting volume and public perception, sometimes showing higher or lower expected goal probabilities than traditional expert views. The dynamic nature of this market means odds can diverge from static forecasts, especially as match conditions evolve.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price through active buying and selling of contracts representing different possible goal totals. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate trader sentiment and is displayed as a percentage chance. Volume of $691,501 and recent 24-hour volume of $653,469 show how much activity is driving price changes. This pricing mechanism allows for continuous adjustment based on new information and betting patterns leading up to Aug 16, 2026.
This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score after regulation time will determine which side wins, and the market will close based on the officially recorded number of goals.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions affecting play, and tactical decisions by managers can all shift this market. High-profile media coverage or pre-match polls may also influence trader sentiment. Any last-minute lineup changes or crowd momentum during the game are likely to cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi as bettors react to new information.