TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 9:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will score more points in the second quarter of an upcoming college football game between Arkansas State and TCU. It focuses solely on the performance during that specific 15-minute segment, ignoring the overall game result. The outcome depends entirely on the points scored by each team between the 15:00 and halftime marks in the second quarter.
If TCU wins the 2nd quarter of the Arkansas St. vs TCU college football game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Arkansas St. wins the 2nd quarter of the Arkansas St. vs TCU college football game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd quarter of the Arkansas St. vs TCU college football game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of how each type of market operates. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the number of contracts available at different price points, also indicates the level of confidence traders have in each outcome. Higher volume at a particular price suggests stronger conviction.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning team of the 2nd quarter of the Arkansas St vs TCU game will determine the settlement. The platform will utilize publicly available sources to verify the final result and determine which contracts will pay out. Traders should monitor official sources for the game results to understand when the market will be officially settled. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Arkansas St or TCU teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also shift the odds. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, public perception and betting patterns, as reflected in trading volume, will continuously shape the prices until the event concludes.