TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 7:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates individual player and team defensive performance in a specific football game, focusing on whether certain players or units achieve predetermined fantasy point thresholds. Each market centers on a different participant's statistical contributions, with outcomes determined by their cumulative points under a defined scoring system.
All markets resolve based on fantasy points accumulated by specified players or team defense/special teams units in the full game (including overtime) between Arizona and San Francisco, scheduled for September 27, 2026. Fantasy points are calculated using Sleeper’s default full-PPR scoring system, which awards points for various statistical categories including passing, rushing, receiving, kicking, and defensive/special teams contributions. Each primary rule defines a specific threshold; if the designated player or unit exceeds their respective threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' Players or units not participating or未被 assigned a fantasy-point value by Sleeper are considered to have scored zero points. The official fantasy-point totals published by Sleeper at the time of game expiration are used for resolution, with no post-expiration adjustments or rounding applied. All markets are independent, and performance is evaluated under identical scoring rules across the event.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing a specific range of total fantasy points for the Arizona vs San Francisco game. The price of a contract represents the probability of the total fantasy points falling within that range. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation of the outcome. The goal is to find a price that accurately reflects the likelihood of the event happening, as perceived by the market participants.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total fantasy points scored in the Arizona vs San Francisco game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official fantasy point totals from a widely recognized sports statistics provider will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome based on publicly available data, independent of any individual opinion or bias.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Arizona or San Francisco teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in player matchups, weather forecasts, or even coaching decisions could also shift expectations. Unexpected news about team strategies or player performance in other games could indirectly impact this market as well. Monitoring these signals and their potential impact on total fantasy points is crucial for informed trading.