TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 13, 10:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on determining the margin of victory in the final quarter of a football game between Arizona and Las Vegas. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded by either team to resolve as 'Yes'.
These markets assess whether Las Vegas or Arizona wins the fourth quarter by exceeding various point margins. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the winning team must outscore its opponent by more than the specified threshold solely in points scored during the fourth quarter of regulation time—overtime points are excluded. Thresholds range from narrow margins like over 2.5 points to substantial gaps such as over 10.5 points, offering multiple tiers of outcome specificity. All markets share the same secondary rule: only points scored in the fourth quarter (excluding overtime) count toward determining the outcome. The game in question is the Arizona vs Las Vegas Pro Football match scheduled for August 13, 2026. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
This market resolves around Aug 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score differential for the fourth quarter will determine which side covers the spread, and the result is finalized when official game records are published post-match.
Key signals that could shift this market include injury updates to star players, changes in coaching strategy for the fourth quarter, and weather conditions affecting gameplay. High-profile performances in recent matchups or motivational factors for either team may also sway trader sentiment. As the game approaches, any last-minute roster adjustments or strategic announcements can cause rapid shifts in odds on Kalshi.