TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 6:10 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and San Diego Padres, scheduled for September 27 at 3:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and San Diego Padres, scheduled for September 27 at 3:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on power rankings and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and real-time adjustments based on trading activity. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it may indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. It's common to see the two converge as the event approaches, but differences can persist due to varying information and risk assessments.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts predicting a specific result, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the odds closely align with the perceived probability of each outcome, as determined by those actively trading within Predict.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Diamondbacks-Padres game—which team wins—will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will reflect the official game results as reported by a trusted source, ensuring a transparent and accurate settlement process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome of the game.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries, starting pitcher changes, or significant weather forecasts impacting the game could cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected lineup announcements or even pre-game reports about team morale could also move the market. Furthermore, large volume trades on Predict from informed traders can quickly change the price, reflecting new information or a change in sentiment regarding the Diamondbacks-Padres game.