TOTAL VOLUME:

$143.5b

24H VOL:

$195,145,316

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,692,168,434

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,731,064,451

482,647

Markets across

36,631

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,924

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Argentina vs. Burkina Faso
polymarket
predict
kalshi

What is the result of Argentina vs. Burkina Faso?

Volume:
$1,962,934

Argentina

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 10:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Argentina

View
100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$449,274
N/A
N/A
$361,132
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Argentina

View
100%
13%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$204,867
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

ARG

View
99%
10%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$10,684
$67,206
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
1%
9%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$1,731
$168,884
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$345,523
N/A
N/A
$266,347
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Argentina vs. Burkina Faso)

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$221,425
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

BUR

View
1%
2%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$168
$8,192
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Burkina Faso

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$426,073
N/A
N/A
$349,135
Settled
No
polymarket

Burkina Faso

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$71,491
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a FIFA International Friendly match between Argentina and Burkina Faso scheduled for October 3, 2026. Markets ask whether Argentina or Burkina Faso will win, or if the game will end in a draw, all within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket explicitly resolves canceled games to 'No', while Kalshi's logic is less clear.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of game cancellation when trading. Polymarket offers a defined outcome in case of cancellation, while Kalshi's resolution is less certain.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If Argentina wins, resolves 'Yes'. Otherwise 'No'. If postponed, remains open. If canceled, resolves 'No'. Source: FIFA.com
  • Kalshi: Resolves 'Yes' if Argentina/Burkina Faso/Tie wins after 90 minutes + stoppage time. Does not explicitly address cancellation; implies resolution based on the result if the game occurs.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Saturday, October 3, 2026 between Argentina and Burkina Faso.

Kalshi

The event involves three possible outcomes for the Argentina vs Burkina Faso professional international friendly soccer game scheduled for October 3, 2026: Argentina win, Burkina Faso win, or a tie, all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if its corresponding outcome occurs. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes'. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as per the rules. The event explicitly excludes extra time and penalty shootout results from consideration.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Saturday, October 3, 2026 between Argentina and Burkina Faso.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those shown for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to more efficient price discovery in prediction markets, especially as more information becomes available. However, sportsbooks typically offer a wider range of bet types than are currently available on Polymarket or Kalshi for the Argentina vs. Burkina Faso match. Both offer valuable insights, but reflect different approaches to assessing probability.

Prices for this market may diverge between Polymarket and Kalshi due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading fees and liquidity also play a role; higher fees on one platform might discourage trading, leading to less accurate price discovery. Furthermore, the specific market design – the available outcomes and the way they are presented – can influence how traders interpret information and adjust their positions. These differences contribute to the observed price discrepancies, even though both platforms are tracking the same underlying event.