TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. James Madison Dukes (W)
Volume:
$14,692
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Appalachian State Mountaineers and James Madison Dukes scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are designed to resolve based on the final outcome of this matchup.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical impossibility: both mutually exclusive outcomes (Appalachian St. win and James Madison win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes). This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as stated.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi until this is clarified. The market description violates basic Boolean logic. Contact Kalshi support to confirm whether the intended resolution is: (a) Yes if game occurs regardless of winner, or (b) Yes only if Appalachian St. wins. Use Polymarket as your authoritative source for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure. Appalachian State victory resolves to Appalachian State Mountaineers; James Madison victory resolves to James Madison Dukes. Handles postponements (market stays open) and cancellations (50-50 split). Logically sound.
- Kalshi: Contradictory Yes/Yes mapping. Both Appalachian St. win and James Madison win are stated to resolve to Yes, which is logically impossible since only one can occur. Suggests documentation error or misunderstanding of market intent.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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