TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 9:03 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mia Ristic and Lina Gjorcheska in the Antalya 4, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mia Ristic' if Mia Ristic advances against Lina Gjorcheska. This market will resolve to 'Lina Gjorcheska' if Lina Gjorcheska advances against Mia Ristic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mia Ristic and Lina Gjorcheska in the Antalya 4, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mia Ristic' if Mia Ristic advances against Lina Gjorcheska. This market will resolve to 'Lina Gjorcheska' if Lina Gjorcheska advances against Mia Ristic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially when there’s significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders exploit price inefficiencies between the two types of markets. However, it's important to note that both represent probabilities of an event occurring.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Ristic vs Gjorcheska match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood of that outcome occurring. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants, providing a unique insight into the expected result of the match.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Ristic vs Gjorcheska match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to determine the winning player and settle the market accordingly. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution, while those who bet on the losing outcome will forfeit their shares. The official match result is the determining factor.
Several signals or events could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the Ristic vs Gjorcheska match might also shift sentiment. Public endorsements or analysis from tennis experts could sway traders’ opinions, as could large trading volumes from influential participants. Ultimately, any information that alters the assessment of either player’s chances of winning has the potential to move the market.