TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$129,159,707

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,442,132,418

404,744

Markets across

30,489

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Amgen Irish Open End of Round 2 Leader
kalshi

Who will lead after Round 2?

Volume:
$145,738

Shane Lowry

 - Kalshi

Shane Lowry - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 11, 2026

Closed: Sep 11, 3:29 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Shane Lowry

View
100%
92%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$35,491
N/A
N/A
$18,932
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Joaquin Niemann

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$62,056
N/A
N/A
$54,757
Settled
No
kalshi

Hao-Tong Li

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,158
N/A
N/A
$5,292
Settled
No
kalshi

Niklas Norgaard Moller

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,081
N/A
N/A
$4,081
Settled
No
kalshi

Connor Syme

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,810
N/A
N/A
$3,810
Settled
No
kalshi

Ewen Ferguson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,732
N/A
N/A
$3,732
Settled
No
kalshi

Rory McIlroy

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,698
N/A
N/A
$3,678
Settled
No
kalshi

Adrian Meronk

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,102
N/A
N/A
$3,102
Settled
No
kalshi

Frederic Lacroix

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,951
N/A
N/A
$2,951
Settled
No
kalshi

Shaun Norris

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,885
N/A
N/A
$1,885
Settled
No
kalshi

Rasmus Hojgaard

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,870
N/A
N/A
$1,870
Settled
No
kalshi

Kazuma Kobori

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,832
N/A
N/A
$1,832
Settled
No
kalshi

Renato Paratore

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,500
N/A
N/A
$1,500
Settled
No
kalshi

Yuto Katsuragawa

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,403
N/A
N/A
$1,403
Settled
No
kalshi

Maximilian Steinlechner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,382
N/A
N/A
$1,382
Settled
No
kalshi

Patrick Reed

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,215
N/A
N/A
$1,215
Settled
No
kalshi

Tom McKibbin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,153
N/A
N/A
$1,153
Settled
No
kalshi

Harry Hall

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,078
N/A
N/A
$1,078
Settled
No
kalshi

Tyrrell Hatton

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$935
N/A
N/A
$935
Settled
No
kalshi

Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$935
N/A
N/A
$935
Settled
No
kalshi

Robert MacIntyre

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$935
N/A
N/A
$935
Settled
No
kalshi

Alex Fitzpatrick

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$882
N/A
N/A
$882
Settled
No
kalshi

Rafa Cabrera Bello

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$851
N/A
N/A
$851
Settled
No
kalshi

Jens Dantorp

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$724
N/A
N/A
$724
Settled
No
kalshi

Nicolai Hojgaard

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$681
N/A
N/A
$681
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 145

Description

The Amgen Irish Open is a prestigious golf tournament featuring top international players competing over multiple rounds. This specific market focuses on identifying which golfer will hold the lead after the second round, reflecting early tournament momentum and performance.

Kalshi

Each market resolves based on whether the specified golfer is the sole leader at the end of Round 2 of the 2026 Amgen Irish Open. If multiple participants share the leading position, "Yes" positions receive a payout of $1 divided by the number of tied leaders (rounded down to the nearest cent), while "No" positions receive the remainder of the total pool after subtracting the "Yes" payouts. The event operates independently of PGA affiliations, with all trademarks and branding belonging to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Irish Open leaderboard tracks the current market prices, reflecting what traders are willing to pay for contracts on each potential leader after the second round. It also displays a price history chart, showing how the odds have changed over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $142,729. The total volume traded on this market is $145,738. This allows users to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to the leading golfers.

Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by supply and demand – traders buying and selling contracts based on their own assessments of each golfer’s chances. Therefore, discrepancies can arise, potentially offering value to informed traders who identify mispricings relative to their own analysis or compared to the consensus from polls and analysts.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders submit bids (the price they're willing to buy a 'yes' contract) and asks (the price they're willing to sell a 'yes' contract) for each potential leader. When a bid and ask match, a trade occurs. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective belief of all traders regarding the probability of that golfer leading after Round 2. As new information emerges, the prices will adjust, providing a dynamic assessment of each player’s prospects.

This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official leaderboard after the second round of the Amgen Irish Open is verifiable from credible public reporting. The golfer at the top of the leaderboard at that time will be considered the market’s winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the official tournament results, ensuring accuracy and transparency in determining the outcome of this market.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding a golfer’s health or form – such as a reported injury or a particularly strong or weak performance in the first round – would likely cause price fluctuations. Weather conditions during the second round could also play a role, favoring certain players over others. Unexpected withdrawals from the tournament or significant changes in betting patterns at sportsbooks could also influence trading activity and move the odds in this market.