TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 8:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This event assesses if both America FC and Sao Bernardo will find the back of the net in their Brasileiro Serie B fixture. The resolution hinges on whether each team manages to score during the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with own goals counted for the team they are awarded to.
If America FC and Sao Bernardo both score a goal in the America FC vs Sao Bernardo Brasileiro Serie B match originally scheduled for Sep 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to profit from margins, while this market allows individuals to express their beliefs directly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. If you find a significant difference between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook odds, it might indicate an opportunity for value betting, but remember that both represent probabilities of the same event occurring.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score in the America FC vs Sao Bernardo match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event happening. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a growing belief that both teams will score, and vice-versa. The current price reflects the aggregate sentiment of all participants trading in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 15, 2026. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either America FC or Sao Bernardo would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as a recent string of high-scoring or low-scoring games, could also shift market sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day, potentially affecting the style of play, might cause traders to adjust their positions. Unexpected announcements related to team tactics or managerial decisions could also contribute to price movements in this market.