TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$244,265,276
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,349,697,137
578,254
Markets across
14,382
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,099
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Saudi Professional League match between Al Fayha and Al Ettifaq scheduled for March 13, 2026. Markets span total goals (over/under at 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, and 4.5 thresholds), spread betting (goal-margin outcomes), and both-teams-to-score outcomes across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi uses strict greater-than (>X) thresholds while Polymarket uses greater-than-or-equal (>=X) thresholds for identical over/under markets. Although mathematically equivalent when properly mapped (Kalshi >2.5 equals Polymarket >=3), the different phrasing creates surface-level divergence in market mechanics.Hero Tip:
Map Kalshi's >X threshold to Polymarket's >=X+1 equivalent. For example, Kalshi's >2.5 market (resolves Yes at 3+ goals) matches Polymarket's O/U 2.5 (resolves Over at 3+ goals). Always cross-reference the actual goal count required for each platform's YES/OVER outcome. Both platforms defer to slstat.com as primary source within 2 hours of match conclusion.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Four markets use strict greater-than thresholds: >1.5 (Yes at 2+ goals), >2.5 (Yes at 3+ goals), >3.5 (Yes at 4+ goals), >4.5 (Yes at 5+ goals). Quote: 'collectively score more than 1.5 total goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Four O/U markets use greater-than-or-equal logic: O/U 1.5 (Over at 2+ goals), O/U 2.5 (Over at 3+ goals), O/U 3.5 (Over at 4+ goals), O/U 4.5 (Over at 5+ goals). Quote: 'resolve to Over if... combine to score 2 or more goals' (for O/U 1.5). Spread markets (Al Fayha -1.5/-2.5, Al Ettifaq -1.5/-2.5) resolve based on goal-margin victory. Both Teams to Score resolves Yes if each team scores >=1 goal.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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