TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AJ Auxerre vs. FC Nantes
Volume:
$183,292
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional Ligue 1 soccer match between AJ Auxerre and FC Nantes scheduled for April 11, 2026. Three mutually exclusive outcomes are being predicted: Auxerre win, Nantes win, or draw. Resolution is based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket explicitly resolves the draw market to YES if the game is canceled with no makeup, while Kalshi's tie market rules do not address cancellation scenarios, creating potential ambiguity in edge case resolution.Hero Tip:
Confirm Kalshi's cancellation protocol with their support team. If Kalshi does not resolve a canceled match as YES on the tie market, traders holding both platforms' draw/tie positions face basis risk. Polymarket's draw market becomes a proxy for cancellation insurance.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Auxerre win resolves YES if Auxerre wins, NO otherwise or if canceled; Nantes win resolves YES if Nantes wins, NO otherwise or if canceled; Draw resolves YES if match ends in a draw OR if canceled with no makeup game, NO otherwise. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw market only).
- Kalshi: Three outcome markets (Auxerre, Nantes, Tie) that each resolve to YES if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation handling is not explicitly stated. Key quote: 'If Tie wins the Auxerre vs Nantes professional Ligue 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.' No mention of canceled game protocol.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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