TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins vs. Cleveland Monsters
Volume:
$1,634
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single professional AHL (American Hockey League) game between the Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins and Cleveland Monsters scheduled for February 27, 2026 at 7:00 PM EST. Markets on Kalshi and Polymarket are tracking the outcome of this matchup, with different resolution structures but aligned underlying logic.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Cleveland Monsters win and Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket provides a coherent categorical resolution structure.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi market until the logical error is corrected. The market cannot resolve to No under any circumstance as currently written, which violates basic binary market logic. Polymarket's market is resolvable and should be used as the reference framework.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary market with critical logical flaw: states 'If Cleveland Monsters wins...then resolves to Yes' AND 'If Wilkes Barre-Scranton Penguins wins...then resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes cannot both be Yes in a binary market. No resolution path to No is provided.
- Polymarket: Categorical winner market resolving to team name. Penguins win = 'Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins', Monsters win = 'Cleveland Monsters'. Includes postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) rules. Final score includes overtime and shootout (one goal added to winner in shootout scenario).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.