TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 8:02 AM EST
Kalshi
The match between AD Sporting Hortaleza and Atletico Union Guimar will resolve based on the total number of goals scored by both teams within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored in the AD Sporting Hortaleza vs Atletico Union Guimar professional Copa del Rey soccer game scheduled for Sep 27, 2026. The outcome is determined solely by the number of goals scored after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalty kicks excluded from consideration. Each market has a specific threshold (e.g., Over 0.5, Over 1.5, etc.), and if the total goals exceed that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Comparing prediction market odds to those offered by sportsbooks can reveal interesting insights. Sportsbooks typically set odds to reflect implied probabilities and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. If a significant discrepancy exists, it might suggest that the crowd believes a sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it's important to remember that sportsbooks and prediction markets have different user bases and motivations, which can lead to differing opinions on the probability of events.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes in the Sporting Hortaleza vs Atletico Union Guimar match. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect changing expectations. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of the event's potential outcomes, driven by the wisdom of the crowd.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Sporting Hortaleza vs Atletico Union Guimar match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official match result as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders who correctly predicted the total goals will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution. The market will then close, and all outstanding contracts will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in team form could significantly impact expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match tactical announcements from either manager, could also shift the market. Furthermore, public sentiment and betting patterns observed in other sources may also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions accordingly. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.