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408,027
Markets across
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East of Eden: Limited Series
- Kalshi
East of Eden: Limited Series - Kalshi
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Oct 6, 2026
Closed: Oct 5, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks which Netflix show will rank second in viewership in the United States during a specific week. It reflects viewer preferences and trends in streaming content consumption over a defined period.
Kalshi
Each market resolves based on whether the specified show appears in the second position on the Netflix Top 10 US Show chart published on October 6, 2026. The chart reflects viewing data for the week ending the previous Sunday, with all markets closing at 11:59 PM ET the day before the chart's publication. All markets explicitly state that they are not endorsed by Netflix, and any references to the platform are purely descriptive.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional analyst forecasts for the US Netflix rankings. While analysts often rely on viewership data and critical reception, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, reflecting a broader range of factors including social media buzz and potential sleeper hits. Discrepancies between the two can highlight overlooked possibilities or differing interpretations of available information. It’s important to remember that this market represents a probabilistic forecast, not a definitive prediction, and may evolve as new data emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of a particular show being the number two US Netflix show this week. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating greater perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are influenced by news, viewership figures, and overall market sentiment. The current market reflects the collective assessment of participants regarding the likelihood of each show achieving the specified ranking.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the ranking of US Netflix shows is verifiable from credible public reporting. The determination will be based on the official Netflix top 10 list for the relevant week, as reported by a widely recognized source. The show holding the number two position on that list at the time of resolution will be considered the winning outcome for this market. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on publicly available data.
Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Unexpectedly strong or weak viewership numbers for any of the contending shows would be a major catalyst. Positive or negative critical reviews, particularly from influential sources, could also shift trader sentiment. Social media trends and viral moments related to specific shows can rapidly influence perceptions of their popularity. Finally, any announcements from Netflix regarding new releases or content strategies could impact the rankings and, consequently, this market.
