TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 4:15 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the second-greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total. In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of the listed artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order. If Spotify is down at the listed time on the listed date, this market will resolve based on the most recent available data. The resolution source for this market will be Spotify. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the second-greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total. In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of the listed artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order. If Spotify is down at the listed time on the listed date, this market will resolve based on the most recent available data. The resolution source for this market will be Spotify. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to specific analyst forecasts for Spotify’s monthly listener counts. However, generally, prediction markets often incorporate a wider range of information and real-time sentiment than traditional polls or analyst predictions. This can lead to differences in perceived probabilities. If analysts widely believe a certain artist will perform well, we might see increased trading volume on that outcome in this market, but the market's price reflects the collective wisdom of traders, not just one opinion.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on which artist holds the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners as reported by Spotify’s official data at the end of October. The market will determine which artist achieved this ranking, based on publicly available listener data. The outcome will be determined by the official Spotify data, not by any subjective assessment or individual reporting.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 31, 2026. Major album releases from competing artists, unexpected viral trends boosting a particular artist’s streams, or significant media coverage impacting listener habits could all influence trading activity. Additionally, any news regarding Spotify’s algorithms or playlist curation could shift perceptions of artist popularity. A sudden surge in streams for an artist currently not in contention could also cause a substantial price shift in this market, as traders adjust their predictions based on new information.
