TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 3:01 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs in the U.S. and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song in the U.S. on Spotify for the week labeled October 9. If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled October 9 by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The Weekly Top Songs - USA chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
Polymarket
Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs in the U.S. and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song in the U.S. on Spotify for the week labeled October 9. If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled October 9 by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The Weekly Top Songs - USA chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds offer a unique perspective compared to traditional analyst forecasts for this market. While music industry analysts often rely on streaming numbers, radio play, and social media buzz, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. Discrepancies can arise if traders anticipate a viral moment or a shift in listening habits that hasn’t yet been captured by conventional metrics. It's interesting to see how the collective prediction compares to expert opinions regarding which song will reach the top spot.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official Spotify charts will be used to determine which song held the number one position in the United States for the relevant week. The market will settle to 100% for the song that is confirmed as the #1 song on the official Spotify charts at the time of resolution, and 0% for all other contenders. The outcome will be based on publicly available data.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 9, 2026. A major artist endorsement, a viral TikTok trend featuring a particular song, or a surprise release from a popular musician could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected news events or cultural moments could also influence listening habits and impact the odds. Furthermore, changes in streaming numbers or radio airplay, as reported by credible sources, will likely cause fluctuations in the market as traders adjust their predictions based on new information.
