TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
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5
Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Housewife - Tate McRae
- Polymarket
Housewife - Tate McRae - Polymarket
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Oct 30, 2026
Closed: Oct 30, 3:21 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs in the U.S. and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song in the U.S. on Spotify for the week labeled October 30. If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled October 30 by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The Weekly Top Songs - USA chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
Polymarket
Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs in the U.S. and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song in the U.S. on Spotify for the week labeled October 30. If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled October 30 by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The Weekly Top Songs - USA chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than many traditional analyst forecasts for the US Spotify #1 song. While some analysts are predicting a continued reign for a specific artist, this market shows a more distributed probability across several contenders. This divergence often occurs because prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a wider range of information and perspectives than a single analyst might consider. It's a fascinating comparison to see how collective prediction differs from expert opinion in this dynamic space.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in a song reaching the #1 spot. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy shares in a particular song, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of success. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic process ensures the market odds constantly adapt to new information and changing sentiment surrounding potential chart-toppers.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Spotify US chart data is released and verifiable from credible public reporting. The song at the #1 position on the official Spotify US chart at the time of resolution will determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the official data published by Spotify, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the market’s result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final chart rankings as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 31, 2026. Major events like album releases from popular artists, viral trends on social media platforms like TikTok, and significant media coverage of specific songs could all influence trading activity. Unexpected collaborations or remixes could also shift the odds. Furthermore, changes in listener behavior, such as a surge in streams for a particular track, will be immediately reflected in the market prices. Keep an eye on music news and streaming data for potential catalysts that could impact the US Spotify #1 song market.
