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1. FC Union Berlin vs. SV Werder Bremen - Halftime Result
kalshi
polymarket

1. FC Union Berlin vs. SV Werder Bremen - Halftime Result

Volume:
$1,955

SV Werder Bremen

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 8, 2026

Closed: Mar 8, 12:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

SV Werder Bremen

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$216
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bremen

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1. FC Union Berlin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,132
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Union Berlin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$318
N/A
N/A
$318
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$89
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the halftime result of the Bundesliga match between 1. FC Union Berlin and SV Werder Bremen scheduled for March 8, 2026. Markets resolve based on which team is leading or if the score is tied after 45 minutes plus stoppage time of regular play.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market definition resolves to Yes for all possible halftime outcomes (Union win, draw, or Bremen win), making it logically unresolvable as a meaningful prediction market. Polymarket correctly structures three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero tip: Kalshi's market is fundamentally broken and will always resolve Yes. Do not trade it. Trade Polymarket's three binary markets instead: one for Union Berlin leading, one for Bremen leading, and one for a draw. These are mutually exclusive and properly capture all halftime possibilities.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Market resolves Yes if Union Berlin wins halftime, Yes if tie occurs, or Yes if Bremen wins halftime. This creates a tautology where the market always resolves Yes regardless of the actual result. Key Quote: All three conditions state 'then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Union Berlin leading at halftime (Yes/No), Bremen leading at halftime (Yes/No), and Draw at halftime (Yes/No). Exactly one resolves Yes based on the actual halftime score. Key Quote: 'If 1. FC Union Berlin wins... this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.