TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
1. FC Union Berlin vs. SV Werder Bremen - Halftime Result
Volume:
$1,955
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the halftime result of the Bundesliga match between 1. FC Union Berlin and SV Werder Bremen scheduled for March 8, 2026. Markets resolve based on which team is leading or if the score is tied after 45 minutes plus stoppage time of regular play.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market definition resolves to Yes for all possible halftime outcomes (Union win, draw, or Bremen win), making it logically unresolvable as a meaningful prediction market. Polymarket correctly structures three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is fundamentally broken and will always resolve Yes. Do not trade it. Trade Polymarket's three binary markets instead: one for Union Berlin leading, one for Bremen leading, and one for a draw. These are mutually exclusive and properly capture all halftime possibilities.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Market resolves Yes if Union Berlin wins halftime, Yes if tie occurs, or Yes if Bremen wins halftime. This creates a tautology where the market always resolves Yes regardless of the actual result. Key Quote: All three conditions state 'then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Union Berlin leading at halftime (Yes/No), Bremen leading at halftime (Yes/No), and Draw at halftime (Yes/No). Exactly one resolves Yes based on the actual halftime score. Key Quote: 'If 1. FC Union Berlin wins... this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.