TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
1. FC Union Berlin vs. SV Werder Bremen
Volume:
$1,310,897
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Bundesliga match between 1. FC Union Berlin and SV Werder Bremen scheduled for March 8, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are betting on the final outcome (win/loss/draw) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Kalshi's market structure is logically contradictory (three mutually exclusive outcomes all resolve Yes). Polymarket explicitly distinguishes draw cancellation (Yes) from winner cancellation (No).Hero Tip:
Treat Kalshi markets with caution due to logical inconsistency in resolution rules. If the match is canceled, only Polymarket's draw market will resolve Yes; Polymarket's win markets resolve No. Monitor official Bundesliga communications for postponement or cancellation announcements.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: All three outcome markets (Bremen win, Tie, Union Berlin win) are stated to resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility since only one outcome can occur. No explicit cancellation clause. Key Quote: Each outcome states 'then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Draw market resolves Yes if canceled with no makeup; Bremen and Union Berlin win markets resolve No if canceled. Postponement keeps markets open. Key Quote: Draw - 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes'; Win markets - 'this market will resolve No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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