TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
1. FC Magdeburg vs. SV Darmstadt 98
Volume:
$263,257
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Bundesliga 2 (German second division) match between 1. FC Magdeburg and SV Darmstadt 98 scheduled for March 13, 2026. Markets on Polymarket cover individual outcomes (Magdeburg win, draw, Darmstadt win), while Kalshi offers a single catch-all market covering all three possible outcomes. Resolution is based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms use identical resolution logic: official Bundesliga statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, 90 minutes plus stoppage time only, and consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Bundesliga statistics as recognized by the governing body or event organizers; if unavailable within 2 hours, consensus of credible reporting sources.Core resolution logic:
- Match result determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
- Extra time and penalties are explicitly excluded from resolution
- Three possible outcomes: Magdeburg win, draw, or Darmstadt win
- If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed
- If match is canceled with no make-up game scheduled, Magdeburg win and Darmstadt win resolve to No, and draw resolves to Yes
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on a new date.
- Cancellation without make-up: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Polymarket resolves win markets to No and draw to Yes; Kalshi resolves all outcomes to Yes.
- Extra time or penalties: Resolution is based only on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; any result determined in extra time or via penalties is not considered.
- Source timing: Official Bundesliga statistics are the primary source; if not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used instead.
Timing:
Resolution occurs within 2 hours after the match concludes (or is determined to be canceled/postponed indefinitely). Markets remain open if the match is postponed until the rescheduled match is completed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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