TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Zuffa Boxing: Garcia vs. Benn (Welterweight, Main)
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Garcia vs. Benn?

Volume:
$15,490,875

Ryan Garcia

 - Kalshi

Ryan Garcia - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 13, 2026

Closed: Sep 12, 11:49 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ryan Garcia

View
100%
30%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,409,226
N/A
N/A
$4,090,633
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Garcia vs. Benn

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$750,629
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Conor Benn

View
0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,331,020
N/A
N/A
$8,682,745
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the Zuffa Boxing welterweight main event between Ryan Garcia and Conor Benn. Currently, the consensus probability of a Zuffa Boxing: Garcia vs. Benn (Welterweight, Main) win is 100.0%. This prediction aggregates data from Polymarket and Kalshi, and will resolve based on the official result reported at https://www.ufc.com/. Keep an eye on the fight itself, scheduled for resolution on September 13, 2026, as that will determine the final outcome of this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly defines a '50-50' resolution for draws, cancellations, or postponements, while Kalshi lacks this specification, creating ambiguity.Hero tip: Favor Polymarket for its clearer resolution criteria, particularly regarding non-decisive outcomes. Be cautious with Kalshi, as a draw or cancellation could lead to settlement disputes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'Garcia' or 'Benn' for a win, and '50-50' for a draw, technical draw, No Contest, cancellation, or postponement beyond September 26, 2026. Source: https://www.ufc.com/
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either Ryan Garcia or Conor Benn wins the match. No explicit handling of draws, No Contests, or cancellations is provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Garcia" if Ryan Garcia is officially declared the winner of the fight against Conor Benn at Zuffa Boxing: Benn vs. Garcia, scheduled for September 12, 2026. It will resolve to "Benn" if Conor Benn is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 26, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.ufc.com/.

Kalshi

If Ryan Garcia wins the Ryan Garcia vs Conor Benn boxing match originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Conor Benn wins the Ryan Garcia vs Conor Benn boxing match originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the Garcia vs. Benn boxing match. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a strong expectation for one competitor, with a combined volume of $15,490,875. This reflects the collective predictions of traders on both venues, providing a real-time assessment of who is favored to win. The dashboard aggregates data from both Polymarket and Kalshi to offer a comprehensive view of the market’s sentiment. The 24-hour volume is $13,384,041.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a more nuanced view than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks may incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while prediction markets allow traders to directly assess probabilities. This market, for example, could show a different probability for a Garcia or Benn win compared to a typical sportsbook. Furthermore, prediction markets can respond more quickly to new information and changing sentiment, potentially offering more accurate odds as the event approaches. The spread between these markets can vary, depending on information availability.