TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 26, 11:51 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the final set score of the professional tennis semifinal match between Zizou Bergs and Toby Samuel at the 2026 ATP Eastbourne tournament on June 26. The market resolves based on the exact match score in sets won by each player.
The market covers the exact match score outcome of the Zizou Bergs vs Toby Samuel professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Eastbourne Semifinal, with possible resolutions including 2-0 victories for either player or a 2-1 victory for either player. If the match does not occur before play begins due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation, the market resolves to a fair price. If the match is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled match concludes within two weeks. If a player retires, any match outcome that can be definitively determined from completed play resolves accordingly; outcomes that cannot be unconditionally settled resolve to Fair Market Price at the Exchange's discretion.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one aggregate trader beliefs through real-money stakes. Traders here have strong financial incentives to forecast accurately, which can make prediction market prices more efficient than sportsbook lines over time. However, sportsbooks may move faster on breaking news, and liquidity differences can affect both venues' pricing.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and asks for each possible exact score outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of any outcome reflects the marginal trade—the last transaction—and moves as new orders arrive. Traders profit by correctly predicting the final score, creating a direct financial incentive for accurate pricing. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices adjust to new information.
This market resolves around Jun 26, 2026, once the match concludes and the final score is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the exact score at the end of the event. Traders holding positions on the correct final score receive their payouts, while incorrect positions expire worthless. Resolution timing depends on when official results are confirmed and processed by the platform.
Several factors could shift this market significantly before Jun 26, 2026. Player form, recent match results, and head-to-head records influence trader expectations. Injury announcements or lineup changes can trigger sharp repricing. Court conditions, weather, or other venue-specific details may also matter. As the match date approaches, accumulating data on both competitors' recent performance typically narrows uncertainty, while unexpected news can create sudden volatility in the odds.